Sunday, May 28, 2006

A Contrast in Governments: Canadians Decisive in Illegal Immigration Policy

The Canadian government seems immune from the political inertia inflicting their American counterparts:
Canada's Conservative government took on a tough stance on illegal immigrants, having deported planeloads of undocumented workers since April.

Immigration Minister Monte Solberg has said the government "has an obligation to the hundreds of thousands of people waiting to get into this country to make sure we don't reward those who don't play by the rules.”


Full story here.

Murtha Knows Best: Pronounces Marines Guilty Before Charges Filed in Haditha Scandal

Although details are just beginning to come out concerning the alleged Marine massacre of between 15 and 24 Iraqi civilians in Haditha on November 19 of last year, it seems that some of the most outspoken detractors of the war in Iraq are unwilling to wait for a verdict before cashing in:

Democrat John Murtha, a former Marines colonel who has retained close links to the military despite his denunciation of the Iraq occupation, said Marines "killed innocent civilians in cold blood."

Andrew Murray, chair of the Stop the War Coalition, said: "It's clear that what happened in Haditha is a war crime. It would be idle to think this is the first war crime that has been committed in the last three years. It must be assumed that more of this is going on."

"What happened at Haditha appears to be outright murder," said Marc Garlasco of Human Rights Watch. "It has the potential to blow up in the U.S. military's face."

Source

If it is established that the marines under scrutiny did indeed commit the atrocities attributed to them, then let them feel the full weight of justice. However -- it should be noted that there have been no charges filed against any marine currently under investigation.

I believe John Murtha's statements were ponderously premature and irresponsible, and I wonder how many U.S. servicemen will die as a direct result of his agenda-driven rush to judgment.

Saturday, May 27, 2006

Bush Likens War on Terrorism to Cold War

President Bush, likening the war against Islamic radicals to the Cold War threat
of communism, told U.S. Military Academy graduates on Saturday that America's
safety depends on an aggressive push for democracy, especially in the Middle
East.

Here’s a quote from president Bush’s speech to the graduating class at West Point.
As President Truman put it towards the end of his presidency, 'When history says that my term of office saw the beginning of the Cold War, it will also say that in those eight years we set the course that can win it.' His leadership paved the way for subsequent presidents from both political parties - men like Eisenhower, Kennedy, and Reagan - to confront and eventually defeat the Soviet threat.
I entirely agree with the president's assessment, and wonder what isolationists would do differently to guarantee stability in the Middle Eastern oil market. I will be the first to say that Bush’s efforts in Iraq have been less than satisfactory, but I don’t think that his incompetence in prosecuting the war makes his overarching policy of stability via the democratization of the Middle East, any less valid.

Remember that Truman’s first substantial confrontation with communism in Korea was a nightmare. Truman had actually withdrawn all American troops from South Korea by 1949, which, as it turned out, was an open invitation for the communist North Koreans to invade. If Truman had been more resolute in his anti-communist convictions and maintained a strong military presence in South Korea, the war, in which 33,686 Americans perished, would never have occurred.

Will Illegals Have More Rights Than U.S. Citizens?

Thomas Sowell discusses the advantages illegal immigrants will have over American citizens if the U.S. Senate's immigration bill were to become law:
Since most of the illegals are Mexican, that makes them a minority. Under affirmative action, combined with amnesty, they would have preferences in jobs and other benefits.
Those who set up their own businesses would be entitled to preferences in getting government contracts. Their children would be able to get into college ahead of the children of American citizens with better academic qualifications.
Read the rest of Sowell's editorial here.

Go here for the full text of the senate's immigration bill.

Azerbaijan may supply gas to Europe, says president

Aliyev said Azerbaijan was also ready to play a role in the transit of oil and gas, citing two major pipelines nearing completion, which would take gas from his Caspian nation to Turkey and Georgia.

There’s no doubt that Azerbaijan could benefit immensely from a European contract as 49% of its population is currently living below the poverty line. The question that remains is whether the corruption endemic to Azerbaijan can be stifled sufficiently to allow it to become more than just another one-dimensional petrostate.

Full story here.

Friday, May 26, 2006

Feel-Good Legislation, But for Whom?



The Senate passed what could become the most sweeping immigration overhaul in two decades. The bill, which passed 62-36, includes stronger enforcement, a new guest worker program and a plan to allow many of the 12 million illegal immigrants now living in the United States to earn their way to citizenship.

Vicente Fox’s reaction:
Fox said the Senate vote was "the moment millions of families have been hoping for ... that millions of people have been working for."
Source.

Flashback:
The Mexican government drew fire from American advocates of tighter borders on Wednesday for publishing a pamphlet that instructs migrants how to safely enter the United States illegally and live there without being detected.
Source.

The Senate's passing of the immigration bill was, at best, a Pyrrhic victory. The watered-down bill will be rejected out of hand once it comes before the house. Vicente Fox’s strong support for the bill only makes this more likely.

Illegal immigration to the U.S., from Vicente Fox’s perspective, is nothing more than a political expedient; a safety valve, which reduces pressure on his government to make any serious economic reforms. This whole fiasco attests perfectly to the lengths that both American and Mexican politicians will go to retain their power.

Wednesday, May 24, 2006

DPRK Braces for War

Apparently, an American-led invasion of North Korea is imminent. Here's a recent offering by the DPRK's state run media:

Now that the U.S. move for a war of aggression against the DPRK has become undisguised, its army and people will further strengthen its self-reliant defence power in order to safeguard the security and sovereignty of the nation. The U.S., mindful of this, should immediately dissolve the illegal "UN Command" and take a measure for the withdrawal of its troops from south Korea.

Full text here. (Select the "U.S. Moves to Involve "Multi-national" Troops in Second Korean War under Fire" link from the main menu).

Avian Flu Update

There have been some significant developments of late, regarding the potent H5N1 flu strain. Healthcare officials have warned that human-to-human transmission of the so-called bird flu virus would have disastrous global health-care ramifications. Let's hope that no such transmission has occurred in Indonesia.

Jakarta - Tests have confirmed that two more people have died of bird flu in Indonesia, says a senior health ministry official.

One of the victims belonged to a Sumatran family at the centre of fears of human-to-human transmission after six members of the family died this month of bird flu.

Nyoman Kandun, director-general of communicable disease control at the health ministry, said: "One man from the same Sumatra cluster died this morning. He is the father of the child who died on May 13.
Read the full story here.


This is being reported out of Romania:

Bucharest - About 13 000 people were quarantined in the Romanian capital on Monday as troops and police sealed off streets in response to the city's second bird-flu outbreak, said officials.

The mayor of the southern fourth district, Adrian Inimaroiu, said residents would be cut off and all businesses in the area would be closed during the quarantine period of up to three weeks.
Story here.

Tuesday, May 23, 2006

In Range?


Iran conducted a test launch Tuesday night of the Shihab-3 intermediate-range ballistic missile, which is capable of reaching Israel and US targets in the region, Israel Radio reported. The test came hours before Prime minister Ehud Olmert met with US President George W Bush in Washington to discuss the Iranian threat.

Read the full story here.

Is this Israeli propaganda or Iranian provocation? My guess is that it’s probably a little of both. This renewed brinkmanship will more than likely push oil prices back over the $70 mark. Happy motoring.

The Iranian Badge Story Persists

It seems that this story will not die easily. Amir Taheri, author of the original article, which said that non-Muslims in Iran may soon be wearing identification badges, responds here to accusations that his claim is groundless. Here's an excerpt of his latest statement:


Regarding the dress code story it seems that my column was used as the basis for a number of reports that somehow jumped the gun. As far as my article is concerned I stand by it.The law has been passed by the Islamic Majlis and will now be submitted to the Council of Guardians. A committee has been appointed to work out the modalities of implementation. Many ideas are being discussed with regard to implementation, including special markers, known as zonnars, for followers of Judaism, Christianity and Zoroastrianism, the only faiths other than Islam that are recognized as such. The zonnar was in use throughout the Muslim world until the early 20th century and marked out the dhimmis, or protected religious minorities. (In Iran it was formally abolished in 1908).

Monday, May 22, 2006

It's the Oil, Stupid

Here’s the latest assessment of Iraq’s oil production capabilities according to James Jeffrey, senior advisor to the Secretary of State:
Jeffrey said oil production has been restored to over 2 million barrels per day. Iraqi oil exports are reaching 1.6 million barrels per day, and Jeffrey said he would like to see Iraq exporting 2 million barrels per day.
What were Iraqi production capabilities before the first Gulf war? Look here:
Shortly after its failed 1990 invasion of Kuwait and imposition of resulting trade embargos, Iraq's oil production fell from 3.5 million barrels per day to around 300,000 barrels per day. By February 2002, Iraqi oil production had recovered to about 2.5 million barrels per day. Iraqi officials had hoped to increase the country's oil production capacity to 3.5 million barrels per day by the end of 2000, but did not accomplish this given technical problems with Iraqi oil fields, pipelines, and other oil infrastructure.
Here’s a reference to a declassified British document showing Nixon’s resolve to break the Arab oil embargo in 1973:
The United States government seriously contemplated using military force to seize oil fields in the Middle East during the Arab oil embargo 30 years ago, according to a declassified British government document made public on Thursday.
The top-secret document says that President Richard M.Nixon was prepared to act more aggressively than previously thought to secure America's oil supply if the embargo, imposed by Arab nations in retaliation forAmerica's support for Israel in the 1973 Middle East war, did not end. In fact,the embargo was lifted in March 1974. The declassified British memorandum said the United States considered launching airborne troops to seize oil fields in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Abu Dhabi, but only as a "last resort."
The point to be made here is that oil is the lifeblood of the West, and that the current war in Iraq, whether you support it or not, was inevitable. Incompetence in the war’s prosecution does not invalidate the desired goal of stabilizing the Middle Eastern oil market.

Baghdad ER: It's About Time


As I watched the HBO documentary, Baghdad ER, last night, I was struck with the sense that this film would have more of an impact on how the war in Iraq is perceived at home, than any speeches, movies, or protests that preceded it. As the film clip showing Brig Gen. Nguyen Ngoc executing a Vietcong officer assaulted the sensibilities of Americans back home in 1968, Baghdad ER may have much the same effect in 2006.

It is vitally important for the American public to understand the tremendous sacrifices made by their countrymen in Iraq on a daily basis. In that regard, Baghdad ER is an important, albeit modest, step in the right direction. If your knowledge of the war in Iraq is limited to mind-numbing media abstractions, i.e., vague, politically motivated bombast, which does nothing to communicate the true carnage in Iraq, how can you possibly know whether the war is worth fighting?

Baghdad ER, as it turns out, did nothing to dissuade me from my previously held views on the war. What it did do, however, is significantly increase the appreciation I have for the profound sacrifices that have been, and continue to be, undertaken on my behalf. To all the U.S.,British, and Coalition forces serving in Iraq: Thank you.

Sunday, May 21, 2006

The Wealth of Nations

The Seattle Post Intelligencer ran an article yesterday reporting on China's completion of its Three Gorges dam across the Yangtze River. Apparently, this is the largest hydroelectric project the world has ever seen. This was, however, not what caught my attention. At the very end of the article there was a reference to China's growing wealth disparity, which piqued my interest:
Plans for a more elaborate celebration were canceled, Xinhua reported, without giving a reason. Elaborate state celebrations have been rolled back amid a growing disparity between the urban rich and rural poor.
Having, in recent years, heard a number of references to this troubling economic trend in China, I decided that it was about time I got to the bottom of things.

It turns out that the universally accepted statistic for measuring wealth disparities within a particular country is known as that country’s Gini coefficient. As I understand it, the Gini coefficient is a value between 0 and 1, with 0 meaning everyone in a particular country shares that nation’s wealth equally and 1 meaning, as you might expect, that a single person controls all wealth of that nation. Pretty straightforward stuff, right?

So, how well did China do? Well, the answer to that was surprising to say the least: China’s Gini index (the Gini coefficient multiplied by 100), it turns out, is 44, better than America’s, which is rated at 45! This, I believe, is a perfect illustration of media bias. Without looking more closely at the actual data associated with the above contention, there’s no doubt that many would have come away from that article with a much more negative opinion of China’s economic situation than appears to be warranted.

Here’s a link to a site that ranks countries by their Gini index. Remember, the lower the number, the more equal the distribution of wealth.

A Few Questions, Mr. President...


The British call it Questions to the Prime Minister; New Zealanders and Australians refer to it as Question Time; and the Canadians, as Question Period. These terms all describe the time set aside for the representative bodies of each of these nations to directly address any concerns they may have with decisions made by the chief executives of their governments. These question periods are an invaluable tool in establishing a transparent, democratic rapport between leaders and the people they are sworn to serve and protect. Conspicuously absent from this list is the United States of America. The president of the U.S. takes part in no such question period, and I believe it’s time for this to change.

There has been, since President Bush first took office in 2000, a progressively widening disconnect between the executive and his constituency. Approval ratings aside, the American president, regardless of his ebbing popularity at any given time, has chosen to greatly limit his public exposure. President Bush is more than happy to limit the debate by selectively feeding the media with carefully scripted sound-bites, specially formulated to fend off questions instead of answering them.

That participation in these tightly controlled presentations is generally limited to the media is equally vexing to me. The media does not represent me, so why are they given the exclusive privilege of questioning MY employee: the president?

In light of the myriad questions swirling around the president’s handling of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, illegal immigration, NSA wiretaps and official policies toward torture in the so-called war on terrorism, it is time for the president to make an accounting of himself.

I would like to have the president appear once a week before the U.S. Senate and once a month before the U.S. House of Representatives (The last week of each month would include the entire U.S. Congress). In these hour-long, publicly televised sessions, the president would take questions inspired by letters written to the congress by private American citizens. These sessions would be presided over by a member of the U.S. Supreme court; justices would serve in rotation and their power over the proceedings would be absolute.

Just imagine, all three branches of the U.S. government represented in the same chamber, locked in vigorous debate over the issues that WE, the people, think are important. I ask you, would this not electrify the American public? Never mind American Idol, such a spectacle would command ratings on par with the super bowl.

I firmly believe that the establishment of such a tradition would go a long way both in demystifying the American political process, and in giving the American people a much-needed assurance that their participation in government is not in vain. We get the government we deserve – It’s time to show that we deserve better.

Saturday, May 20, 2006

Update to Iranian Badge Story

Iran's Jewish MP denies reports pretending to force non-Muslims to wear colored badges

"Iran's Jewish MP Maurice Motammed, strongly denied reports in a Canadian
newspaper that Iran may force non-Muslims to wear colored badges in public so
they can be identified. He told AFP that quote: "The report is a lie, and the
people who invented it wanted to make political gain by doing so."

Motammed said he had been present in parliament when a bill to promote
"an Iranian and Islamic style of dress for women" was voted adding quote: "In
the law, there is no mention of religious minorities; this is an insult to the
Iranian people and to religious minorities in Iran."


Source

The Great Ethanol Debate

Watching a congressional hearing on gasoline and ethanol prices yesterday on C-span prompted me to write this article. It seems that ethanol, according to yesterday's testimony, is not yet the answer (unless you happen to grow corn for a living).Proponents say ethanol has a positive energy yield (yields more Btu’s than are needed to produce it) while its detractors assert the opposite: more energy is needed to produce ethanol than the finished product will yield.

This debate is beginning to look more and more like the global warming debate: pick a side and enjoy the ride. I have sourced a few interesting tidbits, some more reputable than others, which, on the balance, seem to imply that ethanol is nothing more than corn grower's welfare. At approximately $2.90 a gallon (the same as the U.S. gasoline average price) you can expect 2/3 the energy output of gasoline - and whether you use any of the ethanol derivatives (E10,E85) your tax dollars will still go to subsidize ethanol at a .54/gallon rate. Feel free to add any additional viewpoints/data; balance, as always, is the name of the game here.

The cost of producing and transporting ethanol will continue to limit its use as
a renewable fuel. Ethanol relies heavily on Federal and State subsidies to
remain economically viable as a gasoline-blending component. The current Federal
subsidy, at 54 cents per gallon, makes it possible for ethanol to compete as a
gasoline additive. Corn prices are the dominant cost factor in ethanol
production, and ethanol supply is extremely sensitive to corn prices, as was
seen in 1996. Ethanol production dropped sharply in mid-1996 (Figure 3), when
late planting due to wet conditions resulted in short corn supplies and higher
prices.
Source

From a national supply perspective, it is useful to note the energy impacts of
adding ethanol to gasoline as well as the volume effects. Conventional gasoline
without ethanol contains about 115,000 Btu in a gallon8. Ethanol contains 76,000
Btu in a gallon, or about two-thirds the energy of gasoline. Thus, when 90
gallons of conventional gasoline are extended to 100 gallons by adding 10
gallons of ethanol, the volume of the base 90 gallons has increased by about
11.1 percent, but the energy has only increased about 7.5 percent. Table 2
summarizes both the energy and the volume impacts of adding ethanol to gasoline
with and without an RVP waiver.
Source

Most expensive is Washington's 54 cent-per-gallon tax break for gasohol. This
special-interest loophole accounts for the bulk of the more than $10 billion in
subsidies to ADM since 1980. All told, analyst James Bovard estimates that every
dollar in profits earned by ADM costs taxpayers $30.
Source

Here's a response by The American Coalition for Ethanol:

What does “net energy balance” mean?

What is ethanol’s energy balance? Net energy balance is a term used to
describe how much energy is needed to produce a product versus how much energy
that product provides. Two professors that are long-time critics of ethanol
claim that ethanol has a negative energy balance, meaning more energy is
required to produce ethanol than ethanol offers as a motor fuel.This is not
true. Scientific study after study has proven ethanol’s energy balance to
clearly be positive. The latest USDA figures show that ethanol made from the dry
mill process provides at least 77% more energy as a fuel than the process it
takes to make it.The bottom line is that it takes about 35,000 BTUs (British
Thermal Units) of energy to create a gallon of ethanol, and that gallon of
ethanol contains at least 77,000 BTUs of energy.
Source


Ethanol Futures are currently trading at $2.90/galSee price history here: Source

Note: I have added a U.S. gas price ticker to the side column; just type in your state to see the updated average prices.

Friday, May 19, 2006

NYPD warns officers about cell phone guns




"NEW YORK - The New York Police Department has warned officers to watch out for a type of rare custom-made pistol, disguised as a cell phone.

Federal authorities have been issuing warnings about the specially made .22 caliber handgun since at least 2000, when several were recovered by law enforcement authorities in Europe.

The weapons, which use a spring-wound percussion system to fire up to four .22 caliber bullets, have continued to surface occasionally overseas." More here.

Iran may force badges on Jews, Christians


"TEHRAN, May 19 (UPI) -- Iran's parliament passed a new law this week that would
force the country's Jews, Christians and other religious minorities to wear
color-coded ID badges.

Iranian expatriates confirmed reports the Iranian parliament, or majlis, has approved a law that would require non-Muslims to adhere to a dress code which mandates they wear "standard Islamic garments,"according to Canada's National Post.

The roughly 25,000 Jews living in the Islamic Republic would have to attach a yellow strip of cloth to their clothing, Christians would wear red badges and Zoroastrians would wear blue ones." More here.

Microsoft Launches "Vista Get Ready" Web Site


For some time Microsoft has been dancing around the topic of the actual system specs you'll need to run Windows Vista in all of its graphical glory. Today that changed with the company's launch of a new website dedicated to explaining what you need to have a "Vista-capable PC" and a "Vista Premium-Ready PC.
More here.

Wednesday, May 17, 2006

Venezuela May Buy Russian Fighter Jets, Chavez Says

Hugo Chavez (left) poses with Cuba's president, Fidel Castro.



Hugo Chavez, president of Venezuela, responded to the announced suspension of
arms sales from the U.S. by suggesting that Russia and China could become
alternatives as suppliers to the Venezuelan military.
See the story here.

Chavez, a self-proclaimed savior of the impoverished in both his country and the world over, has gotten a great deal of mileage out of his anti-American rhetoric, and more recently, claims of an impending American invasion of his country. The thought of a Venezuelan invasion by the U.S. is of course laughable: American politicians are divided as to whether 6,000 National Guard troops can even be spared for duty along the Mexican border, let alone an invasion of Venezuela.

I believe Chavez is simply continuing his effective campaign of using America as a convenient excuse for the intractable problems within his own country; problems which he is having little success in addressing.

Chavez, who has all but nationalized his country’s oil industry, seems to spend more petrodollars on strengthening his own prestige than on building an economy that doesn’t rely heavily on oil revenues. 47% of Venezuela’s population is currently living below the poverty line – perhaps Chavez should withdraw from the world stage until he’s gotten his own house in order.